Entire industries, including strategic consulting, are built on selling you frameworks for defining, tiering, and quantifying levels of uncertainty, but these calculated bets or residual risks tend to be modeled on assumptions that make them useless, or even dangerous.

— Roger Spitz

Roger Spitz Quotes

Looking forward, the question is not how much machines will augment human decision-making, but whether humans will remain involved in the process at all.

— Roger Spitz

Complexity flies in the face of what is merely complicated, imposing limitations to our understanding.

— Roger Spitz

Information, misinformation, disinformation, and data: We might not know what to call it, but we certainly are drowning in it.

— Roger Spitz

A new normal is establishing itself in which an undeclared or invisible war is fought entirely through algorithms, narratives, and manipulated media.

— Roger Spitz

To adapt to our complex world of weaponized information, maybe schools should teach data as we do languages.

— Roger Spitz

The importance of epistemic security and cybersecurity is now comparable to that of national security.

— Roger Spitz

As sustainability is the new digital, every company needs to be an energy company.

— Roger Spitz

Domino effects give way to butterfly effects given nonlinearity. “Outsized” conflates with “unpredictable” as a small cause yields disproportionate effects.

— Roger Spitz

Scenarios are dynamic living narratives, and require updating as the world itself evolves.

— Roger Spitz

For most of human history, space was unachievable; now it’s merely dangerous.

— Roger Spitz

Many of these technologies are proven, even beyond controlled environments, so their success will be driven by the value proposition, adoption, and ability to scale in the real world.

— Roger Spitz

Whether personal or organizational, building capacity to effectively deal with change creates resilience, and without exceptional resilience there is no antifragility.

— Roger Spitz

Fast-changing environments drive new opportunities and gaps. Agility means finding those gaps and exploring them.

— Roger Spitz

The objective is not to get the future right. Rather, our work spurs better preparation for any of the futures which may arise.

— Roger Spitz

The issue with uncompromising reliance on flawed assumptions is not being wrong, but being unprepared for alternative outcomes.

— Roger Spitz

If we are to remain relevant, we need to build antifragile foundations to prepare for disruption and benefit from any disorder.

— Roger Spitz

As we destabilize the planetary systems we rely on for survival, the strain on our planet mirrors that in societies. These imbalances reinforce each other, amplifying the challenges.

— Roger Spitz

With the world hyperconnected through smartphones as extensions of our bodies, today it is possible to package, productize, and transmit information instantly at scale to the entire planet.

— Roger Spitz

This need for humans to enhance their capabilities to become AAA is relevant in the context of machines learning faster, with increasingly higher-level human functions.

— Roger Spitz

Humans need to enhance their capabilities, as machines are learning fast, gaining increasingly higher-level human functions.

— Roger Spitz
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